Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.938730 2.225373 2.542748 2.920711 3.359241 3.852812 4.451569
2025-05-18 1.488381 1.866930 2.327259 2.930490 3.703518 4.665380 5.959916
2025-05-25 1.209366 1.609115 2.126647 2.850103 3.842243 5.165120 7.079302
2025-06-01 1.059077 1.478646 2.050437 2.893550 4.116888 5.845377 8.504557
2025-06-08 0.952758 1.386484 2.004351 2.958658 4.413394 6.576471 10.090264
2025-06-15 0.853273 1.287572 1.930790 2.965792 4.614209 7.179580 11.555784
2025-06-22 0.755258 1.176834 1.823125 2.901758 4.688466 7.585594 12.751782
2025-06-29 0.678955 1.089629 1.739552 2.861573 4.789313 8.037428 14.076073
2025-07-06 0.610418 1.006493 1.651891 2.801416 4.844391 8.411806 15.307803
2025-07-13 0.587745 0.996066 1.681470 2.941774 5.260695 9.461594 17.916606
2025-07-20 0.543615 0.943993 1.634054 2.939551 5.417522 10.057631 19.744085
2025-07-27 0.514045 0.914084 1.621574 2.997899 5.691477 10.902905 22.183577
2025-08-03 0.471558 0.861287 1.570930 2.995837 5.883415 11.683040 24.771251
2025-08-10 0.433378 0.813240 1.525620 3.002779 6.104634 12.578038 27.828127
2025-08-17 0.389733 0.749340 1.441906 2.920404 6.127072 13.057470 30.040816
2025-08-24 0.365292 0.719921 1.421654 2.964991 6.425230 14.178288 33.970180
2025-08-31 0.345618 0.697642 1.412763 3.031818 6.781528 15.486004 38.621441
2025-09-07 0.322371 0.665273 1.379025 3.039140 7.002144 16.512124 42.767492
2025-09-14 0.295300 0.621813 1.316720 2.973416 7.039865 17.101413 45.875573
2025-09-21 0.273042 0.586354 1.267793 2.932171 7.130791 17.837903 49.546347
2025-09-28 0.251486 0.550172 1.213265 2.870430 7.161092 18.423007 52.910202
2025-10-05 0.246337 0.550415 1.241468 3.014488 7.744446 20.579049 61.436872
2025-10-12 0.231765 0.527371 1.212890 3.012206 7.938693 21.699921 67.022812